|
By Ed Vitagliano
| AFA Journal News Editor
It was "the map." Everyone seemed to be talking about
it on election night almost four years ago, and for weeks afterwards.
Talking heads and political pundits analyzed the vote returns and
clearly saw that the election seemed to have split the nation into
two camps.
What was odd about the map was that it didnt show a checkered
pattern of states that went Republican or Democratic. Instead, the
pattern demonstrated something approaching a clustering effect.
The "Blue States," consisting generally of the West Coast,
Middle Atlantic states, New England, and some states in the Midwest,
voted for Al Gore. The "Red States," which in general
included everything in between, voted for George Bush.
At the Republican Convention in 1992, a speech by political analyst
and former presidential candidate Pat Buchanan used a phrase that
has now become entrenched in the nations lexicon: "culture
war." The election of 2000 gave us something else: a map that
was a red and blue picture of that culture war.
So the nation was split into Red States and Blue. But split over
what? What is it that is dividing our nation? What is it that makes
our nation divided into what one article called "two different,
yet parallel universes"?
Divergent religious views
In an article in The Atlantic Monthly, Thomas Edsall, national
political reporter for the Washington Post, said, "It is an
axiom of American politics that people vote their pocketbooks, and
for 70 years the key political divisions in the United States were
indeed economic."
Thus, the Democratic Party was often viewed as the political party
that looked after union workers, the poor, the less skilled
in short, the "have-nots." Meanwhile, the Republican Party
was seen as looking after the interests of management, big business,
professionals the "haves." The Middle Class then
divided along the other issues that individuals felt were important,
such as taxes, crime, education, foreign policy, etc.
However, in the opinion of many cultural and political observers,
that has changed. Other core values which often cut across
the old political alignments have been causing people to
gravitate toward one political party or the other.
In January of this year, the respected polling firm Zogby International
released a survey commissioned by the OLeary Report. It uncovered
profound differences in the core religious and moral beliefs of
the people who live in those Red and Blue states.
For example, Red State voters were overwhelmingly more religious,
at least in appearance. In the practice of their faith, 51% of Red
State people said they attended religious services once a week or
more often. In contrast, 46% of those in Blue States said attendance
at religious services only occurred on holidays, rarely, or never.
The Zogby survey also found that Red State people tended to believe
that moral values are "absolute," while those in Blue
States followed a more relativistic, "live and let live"
philosophy.
Summarizing such differences, journalist Michael Barone noted in
the National Journal, "The two Americas apparent in
the 48% to 48% 2000 election are two nations of different faiths.
One is observant, tradition-minded, moralistic. The other is unobservant,
liberation-minded, relativistic."
Barones perception is that religion and the morality
that naturally flows out from it is what mainly accounted
for the political split in the 2000 presidential election. That
is, religion and morality are driving politics.
That is why political issues like the legal status of same-sex relationships
seem to split according to this religious and moral divide. In Red
States, 70% of voters believed that marriage should remain restricted
to one man and one women, while only 25% were in favor of okaying
civil unions. In Blue States, however, while 55% preferred to keep
the traditional marriage model intact, 42% said they were in favor
of civil unions.
Gertrude Himmelfarb, professor emeritus of history at the Graduate
School of the City University of New York and author of the book,
One Nation, Two Cultures, said we now live in "a society fragmented
and polarized, not only along the familiar lines of class, race,
ethnicity, religion, and gender, but along moral and cultural lines
that cut across the others."
A better barometer?
Even more interesting were the insights, just after the 2000 election,
of Pete du Pont, former Delaware governor and now policy chairman
of the National Center for Policy Analysis. In a Wall Street Journal
Op-Ed piece, du Pont noted that two weeks before the 2000 election,
the New York Times had carried a map "that bore an eerie resemblance
to" the election map.
The Times maps contents? "[T]he map shows by region
the percentage of sex movies in the home video market. Mr. Gore
carried the areas with the higher percentages (40% on the West Coast
and 37% in New England and the Middle Atlantic states); Mr. Bush
carried the area with the lowest percentage (14% in the South),
and they split the rest of the country that had middling sex movie
percentages," du Pont said.
It seems that there was no better barometer for measuring the religious
and moral convictions of voters and possibly their political
affiliations than sex movies.
Some astute observers of the political scene had seen this coming
under the Clinton presidency. According to Edsall, two of the former
presidents political advisors, Dick Morris and Mark Penn,
discovered a polling technique in 1996 that was able to more accurately
predict whether a voter would cast a ballot for Clinton or the GOP
candidate Sen. Bob Dole.
As Edsall described it: "Respondents were asked five questions,
four of which tested attitudes toward sex: Do you believe homosexuality
is morally wrong? Do you ever personally look at pornography? Would
you look down on someone who had an affair while married? Do you
believe sex before marriage is morally wrong? The fifth question
was whether religion was very important in the voters life."
Those who responded with the more morally "liberal" answers
were overwhelmingly more likely to vote for Clinton than Dole, and
vice versa. Edsall said, "According to Morris and Penn, these
questions were better vote predictors and better indicators
of partisan inclination than anything else except party affiliation
or the race of the voter."
Thus, Edsall said that while elections have traditionally been about
economics, something else is now at the bottom of it all. "[O]ver
the past several elections a new political configuration has begun
to emerge one that has transformed the composition of the
parties and is beginning to alter their relative chances for ballot-box
success. What is the force behind this transformation? In a word,
sex."
Again, the sexual component seems expressive of the two divergent,
mutually exclusive ways in which people see morality. Elections
"now pit voters who believe in a fixed and universal morality
against those who see moral issues, especially sexual ones, as elastic
and subject to personal choice," he said.
Strict and loose
How did all this happen? Himmelfarb said that in all civilized societies
there are two competing moral views or philosophies of life, which
coexist and compete for dominance. Citing famed economic theorist
Adam Smith in The Wealth of Nations, she said "the one
may be called the strict or austere; the other the liberal, or,
if you will, the loose system."
The "loose system" would be a philosophy of life "prone
to the vices of levity," which Smith listed as
things like "luxury, wanton and even disorderly mirth, the
pursuit of pleasure to some degree of intemperance, the breach of
chastity
."
Smith argued, as does Himmelfarb, that throughout most of history
these were the vices of "the people of fashion," the wealthy.
The rich, she argued, could "sustain years of disorder and
extravagance" precisely because they were rich.
But among the "common people," these vices were viewed,
at least publicly, as abhorrent. It was not necessarily because
the common folk were more morally upright; but rather because commoners
realized that "these vices are almost always ruinous to them."
Himmelfarb said, "Much of the social history of modern times
can be written in terms of the rise and fall, the permutations and
combinations, of these two systems."
Revolution
For much of our nations history, the more austere approach
to life and morality has dominated. But Himmelfarb said that what
has transpired in America over the last half century has been nothing
less than a revolution. We have "lived through such a revolution
a revolution in the manners, morals, and mores of society.
[I]t has had a profound effect upon our institutions and
relationships, private and public."
Part of what has been startling about this revolution is that it
has not been limited to the rich, aristocratic class in America.
"As society became more open and the economy more affluent,
morality and culture were liberalized and democratized," Himmelfarb
said. "The loose system of morality, bursting out
of the class binds that had constrained it, was made available to
everyone."
Economic abundance was not the only factor driving this decadence
downward to the masses. In a way that almost seems to explain our
cultures obsession with celebrities, Himmelfarb noted that
the process of the common folk adopting the ways of the (culturally)
liberal elite was helped along because these vices "came with
the imprimatur of their social and intellectual betters."
A revolution truly was under way. Ours was a society where the majority
began clamoring to enter the playground of the rich and were
becoming ever more able, either with cash or credit, to pay for
it.
And it has stuck fast. Edsall said, "Many women and
many men, too cherish the rights that fall under the post-1960s
rubric of autonomy and personal freedom, strongly valuing their
sexual and reproductive independence."
What has made that moral revolution important has been that it is
now playing out politically. These morally and sexually liberated
folk "are willing to vote based on this cluster of issues
and when they do, they vote Democratic," he said.
This should sound an alarm for those Christians who feel shy about
voting according to their religious and moral convictions: The other
side feels no such hesitation.
Such participation in the political process may determine how many
more states turn Blue in this next presidential election
and in the elections to come.
|